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What will be the outcome of the U.S. mission in Syria by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Official military reports and assessments from the Pentagon
Story
Pentagon Reveals 2,000 U.S. Troops in Syria on Temporary Basis to Defeat ISIS
Dec 19, 2024, 08:07 PM
The Pentagon has disclosed that the number of U.S. troops in Syria has increased to approximately 2,000, more than double the previously reported figure of 900. Pentagon Press Secretary Major General Pat Ryder clarified that the additional 1,100 troops are on a temporary rotational basis, supplementing the core presence of around 900 troops. These forces are focused on the ongoing mission to defeat ISIS, which is part of the Combined Joint Task Force Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTF-OIR). The deployment of these additional troops occurred before the fall of the Assad regime, according to the Pentagon.
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Increased U.S. military involvement • 25%
U.S. withdrawal from Syria • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
U.S. withdrawal • 25%
ISIS resurgence occurs • 25%
ISIS resurgence prevented • 25%
Increased regional stability • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Increased tensions with Iran • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Successful in reducing threats • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. forces • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Successful transition • 25%
Complete defeat of ISIS • 25%
ISIS resurgence • 25%
Significant degradation of ISIS • 25%
Stalemate with ISIS • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Partition of Syria • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Partial reduction in operations • 25%