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What changes will occur in Syrian foreign policy on military presence by December 31, 2025?
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Russia•Syria•Bloomberg•Tartus•Khmeimim Air Base•Latakia•Middle East•Africa•Russian•Mikhail Bogdanov•Moscow•Syrian
Resolution / Starting Odds
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Statements from the Syrian government or reports from credible news agencies
Story
Russia Nears Agreement with HTS to Retain Tartus and Khmeimim Bases in Syria for Anti-Terrorism Efforts
Dec 12, 2024, 05:21 PM
Russia is nearing an agreement with the new leadership of Syria, specifically with the political committee of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), to maintain its military presence in the country. According to sources cited by Bloomberg, talks are focused on retaining control over the naval port in Tartus and the Khmeimim Air Base in Latakia, which are crucial for Russia's strategic interests in the Middle East and Africa. The Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov has expressed Moscow's intent to continue its fight against international terrorism from these bases. The discussions come in the wake of the fall of President Bashar al-Assad's regime, marking a significant shift in Syrian governance and foreign policy dynamics.
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Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
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US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
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US increases involvement • 25%
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
Continued non-involvement • 25%
Military support to rebels • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Less supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
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No change • 25%
Stabilizing influence • 25%
Destabilizing influence • 25%
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Other • 25%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
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Significant policy shifts • 25%
Minor policy adjustments • 25%
Rebel influence remains • 25%
Shared control • 25%
Other factions emerge • 25%
Government control • 25%
Indifferent to Russian presence • 25%
Support continued Russian presence • 25%
Demand Russian withdrawal • 25%
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Increase • 50%
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