Market
What change, if any, will occur in U.S. foreign policy on Syria by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Military support to rebels • 25%
Continued non-involvement • 25%
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
Official statements from the White House or U.S. State Department
Story
Trump Urges U.S. to Stay Out of Syria Amid Unprecedented Rebel Offensive on Damascus
Dec 7, 2024, 03:50 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has declared that the United States should not get involved in the escalating conflict in Syria, where opposition fighters, in an unprecedented move, have taken control of several cities and are advancing towards Damascus in a highly coordinated offensive to potentially overthrow President Bashar al-Assad. Trump emphasized that "Syria is a mess, but it is not our friend," stressing that "this is not our fight" and urging the U.S. to "let it play out" and "do not get involved." He also noted that Russia, due to heavy losses in Ukraine, cannot stop this action.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
No change • 25%
Less supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
More supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Russia increases involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Russia reduces involvement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic recognition • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Negative criticism • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Positive support • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
No Major Action • 25%