Market
How will NATO allies respond to potential U.S. withdrawal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strong condemnation • 25%
Calls for renegotiation • 25%
Minimal response • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from NATO or member countries, or credible news sources covering NATO's response
Story
Trump Considers U.S. NATO Exit and Ukraine Aid Reduction
Dec 8, 2024, 04:41 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he would consider withdrawing the United States from NATO and reducing aid to Ukraine, according to statements made during an interview on NBC's 'Meet The Press'. Trump's comments suggest a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy, which could have significant implications for international alliances and support for Ukraine amid ongoing conflicts.
View original story
Similar markets
No change • 25%
Increase contributions • 25%
Publicly criticize Trump's stance • 25%
Decrease contributions • 25%
Increase to over 100,000 • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Remain around 80,000 • 25%
Decrease to below 50,000 • 25%
US withdraws from NATO • 25%
US remains in NATO • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US reduces involvement • 25%
Divided • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Increase in their own aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No response • 25%