Market
How will South Korea's nuclear discussions affect its alliance with the US by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Alliance strengthened • 25%
Alliance unchanged • 25%
Alliance weakened • 25%
Alliance dissolved • 25%
Official statements or agreements between South Korea and the United States
Story
73% of South Koreans Support Nuclear Weapons; Yoon Backed Development in 2023 Amid US Alliance Concerns
Dec 25, 2024, 05:59 PM
Public opinion in South Korea is increasingly in favor of the country developing its own nuclear weapons, with a recent poll indicating that 73% of citizens support such a move. This sentiment aligns with comments made by President Yoon in 2023, who expressed support for nuclear armament. However, analysts caution that pursuing a nuclear path could jeopardize South Korea's critical alliance with the United States. The discussion has intensified, with various commentators advocating for immediate nuclear armament for both South Korea and Japan, citing the existing nuclear capabilities of North Korea as a significant factor in their arguments.
View original story
Similar markets
Relationship strengthens • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Relationship remains unchanged • 25%
Relationship weakens • 25%
Maintained Current Stance • 25%
Other Changes • 25%
Strengthened Ties with China • 25%
Strengthened Ties with US • 25%
Economic sanctions against North Korea • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Relations strained • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Relations strengthened • 25%
Relations broken • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
New alliance formation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Security and defense • 25%
Human rights and democracy • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New regional conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%