Market
Will the Trump administration enact a major policy change affecting U.S. global alliances in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government foreign policy statements or international agreements
Story
Donald Trump Sworn in as 47th U.S. President on January 20, 2025, Promises to Deport Millions and Secure Retribution
Jan 20, 2025, 09:57 AM
Donald Trump is set to be sworn in as the 47th President of the United States on January 20, 2025. This inauguration marks the beginning of another four-year term for Trump, during which he has pledged to push the limits of executive power, deport millions of immigrants, secure retribution against political adversaries, and transform the role of the U.S. on the global stage. With Republicans assuming unified control of Washington, the administration is expected to reshape the country's institutions significantly.
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Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New international alliances • 25%
Military action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Russia • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military Action • 25%
Trade Agreement • 25%
Diplomatic Initiative • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Weakened Alliances • 25%
Strengthened Alliances • 25%
