Market
How will military alliances involving North Korea change by December 2025?
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Ukraine•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Ukrainian•Ukrainian Defense Intelligence•94th Brigade•Ukraine conflict•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No change • 25%
Official military alliance announcements or credible news reports
Story
Ukraine Reports Over 30 North Korean Soldiers Killed or Wounded in Kursk Fighting on December 14-15
Dec 16, 2024, 01:05 PM
Ukraine's military intelligence reported that at least 30 North Korean soldiers were killed or wounded during recent fighting in Russia's Kursk region. The casualties occurred over the weekend, specifically on December 14 and 15, as Ukrainian forces engaged North Korean troops who had been deployed by Russia to support its military operations. The Ukrainian Defense Intelligence indicated that these North Korean soldiers were part of Russia's 94th Brigade, which has been reinforced with fresh troops amid ongoing conflicts. This incident marks a significant moment in the Ukraine conflict, as it is among the first reported casualties of North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces. Ukraine has made territorial gains in the Kursk region, an area partially occupied by its troops, further complicating the situation on the ground.
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Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
New alliance against Israel • 25%
Increased support for Iran • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
New regional conflict • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
New alliance formation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
More Diplomatic • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
More Aggressive • 25%