Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-South Korea discussions on regional stability by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Economic sanctions against North Korea • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Joint statements from the U.S. and South Korean governments or major news outlets
Story
North Korea Fires Intermediate-Range Missile 1,100 km During Blinken's Visit to Seoul
Jan 6, 2025, 04:11 AM
North Korea launched an intermediate-range ballistic missile into the East Sea on Monday at around noon, according to South Korea's military. The missile, fired from near Pyongyang, flew approximately 1,100 kilometers before falling outside Japan's exclusive economic zone. This marks North Korea's first missile launch of the year and the first in two months since November. The launch, which may have involved hypersonic technology, coincided with a visit by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Seoul, where he was expected to discuss regional stability amid political turmoil in South Korea.
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Successful agreement • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
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Talks canceled • 25%
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Severed relations • 25%
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Increased tensions • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Denuclearization Agreement • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Human rights and democracy • 25%
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Human Rights • 25%
Military Alliance • 25%
Economic Cooperation • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on North Korea • 25%
Joint international actions with allies • 25%
No significant diplomatic actions • 25%
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No talks initiated • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks continue without resolution • 25%
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Decreased cooperation • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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Alliance unchanged • 25%