Market
What changes will occur in U.S. military alliances by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or NATO, reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Calls for Immediate Cease-Fire in Russia's War in Ukraine, Considers NATO Withdrawal as President-Elect
Dec 8, 2024, 07:32 PM
Donald Trump has called for an immediate cease-fire in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. During a recent statement, the president-elect expressed his openness to the possibility of withdrawing the United States from NATO, highlighting a shift in U.S. foreign policy under his leadership. This marks a significant stance as Trump emphasizes a reduction in U.S. support for Ukraine amidst the war with Russia. His comments come as he prepares to take office, indicating potential changes in the U.S. approach to international alliances and military support.
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Similar markets
Status quo maintained • 25%
New alliance against Israel • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Increased support for Iran • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
No change • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other regions • 25%
Asia-Pacific countries • 25%
U.S. and allies • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
Decrease in presence • 25%
No change • 25%
New strategic deployments • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Other • 25%
New defense strategies • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Alliances weaken significantly • 25%
Current alliances strengthen • 25%
New alliance forms • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased integration • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
