Market
Outcome of Venezuelan opposition's electoral fraud claims by end of 2025?
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Colombian•Álvaro Uribe•Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•Uribe•Cúcuta•United Nations•Maduro•Cuba•Nicaragua•International Antifascist World Festival•Edmundo González Urrutia
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fraud confirmed and new elections held • 25%
Fraud confirmed but no new elections • 25%
Fraud not confirmed • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies, Venezuelan government announcements, or legal rulings
Story
Uribe Demands UN-Endorsed Intervention in Venezuela from Cúcuta; Maduro Prepares for Armed Defense
Jan 12, 2025, 01:06 AM
Former Colombian President Álvaro Uribe has called for an international military intervention in Venezuela to oust President Nicolás Maduro, whom he referred to as a dictator. Uribe made this demand from the border city of Cúcuta, advocating for an intervention preferably endorsed by the United Nations to remove Maduro from power and hold free elections. In response, Maduro has warned that Venezuela, alongside Cuba and Nicaragua, is preparing to take up arms if necessary to defend its sovereignty and peace. Maduro's statements came during the closure of the International Antifascist World Festival, where he also called for a global alliance against fascism. This follows Maduro's controversial inauguration for a third term on January 10, 2025, which has been contested by the opposition claiming electoral fraud and asserting that Edmundo González Urrutia won the election.
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Other resolution • 25%
Fraud disproven by independent audit • 25%
Fraud confirmed by independent audit • 25%
No independent audit conducted • 25%
Opposition's claim rejected • 25%
Opposition's claim upheld • 25%
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González confirmed as President • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
61% - 70% • 25%
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Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
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Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
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González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Inauguration postponed • 25%
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Inauguration canceled • 25%
Inauguration proceeds as planned • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
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Maduro remains President • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
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New elections held • 25%
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