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How will the Venezuelan presidential dispute be resolved by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements or agreements recognized by international bodies or major news outlets.
Story
Venezuela Offers $100,000 Reward for Capture of Opposition Leader Edmundo González Urrutia Amid Election Dispute
Jan 3, 2025, 12:56 AM
Venezuela's government has announced a $100,000 reward for information leading to the capture of Edmundo González Urrutia, an opposition leader who claims to have defeated President Nicolás Maduro in the presidential election held on July 28 of the previous year. González Urrutia, accused of conspiracy, money laundering, and inciting unrest, fled to Spain in September and has been granted political asylum there. He plans to return to Venezuela on January 10 to assume the presidency, coinciding with Maduro's scheduled inauguration for his third term.
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New elections announced • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
González confirmed as President • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
New elections held • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Edmundo González becomes President • 25%
Military takeover • 25%
Another opposition leader becomes President • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%
Protests subside with Maduro in power • 25%
Protests subside with González in power • 25%
Protests escalate into violence • 25%