Market
Venezuelan Public Support for Opposition's Election Fraud Claim by June 30, 2025
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María Corina Machado•Edmundo González Urrutia•Nicolás Maduro•Machado•González Urrutia•Maduro•Venezuelan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50% • 25%
50% - 60% • 25%
61% - 70% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
Independent and credible public opinion polls
Story
Venezuelan Opposition Protests Maduro's Third Term on January 10, Claims 67% Victory
Dec 31, 2024, 08:13 PM
Venezuelan opposition leaders María Corina Machado and Edmundo González Urrutia have called for mass protests in January to challenge the inauguration of President Nicolás Maduro for a third term on January 10, 2025. Machado, who claims the July 28 election was fraudulent, and González Urrutia, recognized by the U.S. as the elected president, urged supporters to take to the streets to 'claim the victory' they believe was rightfully theirs. The opposition alleges that González Urrutia won with 67% of the vote, while the government claims Maduro won with 52%. The opposition's call comes amidst international criticism of the election process and ongoing tensions, with the U.S. reaffirming its support for González Urrutia and Machado, and the Venezuelan government rejecting any foreign interference.
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Fraud not confirmed • 25%
Fraud confirmed and new elections held • 25%
Fraud confirmed but no new elections • 25%
Other • 25%
More than 75% • 25%
Less than 25% • 25%
51% to 75% • 25%
25% to 50% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Fraud confirmed by independent audit • 25%
Fraud disproven by independent audit • 25%
No independent audit conducted • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other • 25%
Juan Guaidó • 25%
Henrique Capriles • 25%
Leopoldo López • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Venezuela's actions • 25%
Support for Venezuela's stance • 25%
Call for dialogue between Venezuela and Colombia • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%