Market
Outcome of Venezuelan opposition's challenge to Maduro's inauguration in January 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Venezuelan•Maria Corina Machado•Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia•Trump•Machado•Maduro•Caracas•Truth Social•Venezuela•Gonzalez
Resolution / Starting Odds
Inauguration proceeds as planned • 25%
Inauguration postponed • 25%
Inauguration canceled • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements and court rulings
Story
Trump Backs Venezuelan 'Freedom Fighters' Machado and Gonzalez After Brief Detention by Maduro Regime
Jan 9, 2025, 10:55 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has voiced strong support for Venezuelan opposition figures Maria Corina Machado and Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia, emphasizing their roles as 'freedom fighters' who are peacefully expressing the will of the Venezuelan people. Trump's statement comes in the wake of Machado's brief detention by forces loyal to the Maduro regime, which occurred after she participated in a large-scale protest in Caracas against the regime. Machado was subsequently released. Trump's message, posted on Truth Social, highlighted the significant support from the Venezuelan-American community for a free Venezuela and stressed that Machado and Gonzalez should remain unharmed and safe. The opposition in Venezuela, led by Gonzalez, claims victory in the July elections and is set to challenge Maduro's inauguration on January 10.
View original story
Similar markets
Maduro's win upheld • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
New elections ordered • 25%
Election results annulled • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Protests are suppressed without major outcomes • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Protests result in significant international sanctions • 25%
Inauguration canceled • 25%
Inauguration postponed • 25%
Inauguration proceeds without incident • 25%
Inauguration disrupted but proceeds • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González confirmed as President • 25%
González Urrutia inaugurated • 25%
Maduro inaugurated • 25%
Maduro not inaugurated • 25%
Neither inaugurated • 25%
Successful with no incidents • 25%
Postponed or canceled • 25%
Significant protests with disruptions • 25%
Minor protests, no major incidents • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Edmundo González returns and is sworn in • 25%
Opposition calls for new elections • 25%
Opposition forms government-in-exile • 25%