Outcome of US-Russia negotiations on weapon supply to Ukraine by the end of 2025
Weapons supply continues with conditions • 25%
Weapons supply continues without conditions • 25%
Weapons supply to Ukraine stops • 25%
No agreement on weapon supply • 25%
Official diplomatic agreements or statements from involved parties
Putin to Demand Ukraine's NATO Exclusion, Neutrality, and Limited Army in Talks with Trump: Bloomberg
Jan 15, 2025, 06:00 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin is set to demand that Ukraine never joins NATO and becomes a neutral state with a limited army in any upcoming negotiations with incoming US President Donald Trump, according to Bloomberg sources. Putin's conditions also include a drastic reduction of Ukraine's military ties with the NATO alliance. Russia is expected to insist that while NATO countries may continue to supply weapons to Ukraine, these should not be used against Russia or to recapture territories. The Kremlin aims to maintain at least de facto control over the nearly 20% of Ukrainian territory it currently holds, including Crimea, though it is open to some territorial swaps.
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Complete withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukraine • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change in the situation • 25%
Partial withdrawal with territorial concessions • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Formal Agreement • 25%
Informal Understanding • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful peace agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
No negotiations occur • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Multilateral talks including NATO • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Bilateral negotiations only • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Talks end with no agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks postponed indefinitely • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ukraine reduces military ties with NATO • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine increases military ties with NATO • 25%
Ukraine maintains current military ties with NATO • 25%