Market
Outcome of political tensions involving Yoon Suk Yeol by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yoon remains in office without further incidents • 25%
Yoon faces successful impeachment • 25%
Yoon resigns voluntarily • 25%
Other significant political developments • 25%
Official government announcements and credible news outlets
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Suk Yeol Vows to 'Fight Until the End' After Failed Impeachment Motion and Martial Law Decision
Jan 2, 2025, 01:41 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has issued a defiant message to his supporters, stating he will 'fight until the end' against what he describes as threats to the nation's sovereignty. In a handwritten letter addressed to his supporters gathered outside the presidential residence, Yoon emphasized the dangers posed by both domestic and foreign forces he labels as 'anti-state.' His remarks come in the wake of a failed impeachment motion against him, which has intensified scrutiny over his leadership and decisions, including a controversial declaration of martial law. The opposition has criticized Yoon's statements, accusing him of inciting conflict and escalating political tensions in South Korea. The Democratic Party has labeled his actions as a mobilization of far-right forces and has suggested that he may face additional charges of insurrection.
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Yoon remains at large • 25%
Yoon exiled or flees the country • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yoon arrested and charged • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other • 25%
Successfully completes term • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Standoff continues • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Voluntarily surrenders • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Continuation of current situation • 25%
Resolution with reforms • 25%
Continues political career • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned from holding office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon arrested • 25%
Impeachment invalidated • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
New presidential election called • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol faces trial • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Interim government established • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintains position • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Remains President • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Impeached and Removed • 25%
New legal action delays arrest • 25%
Warrant expires without arrest • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Other • 25%