Market
Outcome of Israeli operations in Philadelphi Corridor by September 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Philadelphi Corridor•Netanyahu•Judea•Samaria•Gaza•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Philadelphi
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Stability • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or IDF, credible news sources such as BBC, Reuters, or Al Jazeera
Story
Netanyahu: IDF to Increase Presence in Philadelphi Corridor, Contrary to Reports
Jan 18, 2025, 06:22 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that Israel will maintain and increase its military presence in the Philadelphi Corridor, contrary to earlier reports suggesting a withdrawal. Netanyahu emphasized that the number of forces in the corridor will be increased, not reduced. This statement comes amidst ongoing tensions and military operations in the region. Additionally, Netanyahu mentioned that convicted terrorists freed in any deal will not be allowed to return to Judea and Samaria but will be sent to Gaza or exiled abroad. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) will specifically enhance their presence in the Philadelphi strip near the border.
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Decreased presence • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Full withdrawal • 25%
No change in presence • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
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Partial Israeli control • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Full control established • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Withdrawal of IDF • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas retains significant control • 25%
Partial defeat with cease-fire • 25%
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%
Operation success with reduced militant activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Operation failure with increased tensions • 25%
Operation inconclusive with ongoing clashes • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%