Market
What will be the outcome of IDF operations in the buffer zone by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued presence • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces or credible news agencies
Story
IDF Warns Residents of Five Syrian Border Towns to Stay Indoors as Troops Enter Buffer Zone
Dec 8, 2024, 03:12 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have issued urgent warnings to residents of five southern Syrian towns near the Israeli border, advising them to stay indoors until further notice due to impending military operations. The affected towns are Ovania, Quneitra, Al-Hamidiya, Al-Samdaniya Al-Gharbiyya, and Al-Qahtaniya. IDF spokesperson Col. Avichay Adraee stated, "The fighting in your area is forcing the IDF to act, and we do not intend to harm you." Troops are reportedly advancing into the buffer zone between Israel and Syria.
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Partial control with ongoing conflict • 25%
Full control established • 25%
Withdrawal of IDF • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Israel maintains presence • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful fortification with no incidents • 25%
Successful fortification with minor incidents • 25%
Partial fortification with significant incidents • 25%
Operation halted or reversed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Israel remains without international agreement • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Israel remains with international agreement • 25%
IDF maintains current position • 25%
IDF withdraws completely • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
IDF increases its presence • 25%
IDF maintains control in targeted areas • 25%
Operations escalate into broader conflict • 25%
IDF withdraws without achieving objectives • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Operation results in stalemate • 25%
Hamas remains entrenched • 25%
Operation leads to ceasefire • 25%
IDF successfully clears hospital • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased stability in the region • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%