Market
What will be the outcome of Israel's 'Iron Wall' operation in Jenin by March 31, 2025?
2
Israeli military•Iron Wall•West Bank•Jenin•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Shin Bet•Border Police•Palestinian•Israeli•Palestinian Authority•Benjamin Netanyahu
Resolution / Starting Odds
Operation success with reduced militant activity • 25%
Operation inconclusive with ongoing clashes • 25%
Operation failure with increased tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official statements from involved parties.
Story
Israel Launches 'Iron Wall' Operation in Jenin; Airstrikes Kill Two, Injure 25
Jan 21, 2025, 11:04 AM
The Israeli military has launched a large-scale operation, named 'Iron Wall,' in the West Bank city of Jenin. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF), Shin Bet security agency, and Border Police initiated the offensive to counter terrorist activities in the area. The operation involves ground forces, drones, and helicopters, with airstrikes targeting militant infrastructure, including strikes on the Jenin refugee camp. Palestinian health officials report at least two Palestinians killed and 25 injured. Clashes between Israeli forces and local militants have been reported, and the Palestinian Authority security forces have withdrawn from the area. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that the operation aims to eliminate terrorism in Jenin. The operation is expected to last several days.
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Operation ongoing • 25%
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Partial withdrawal • 25%
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Dismantling of terror networks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Successful capture of suspects • 25%
Increased tensions without capture • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Other • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
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Hamas remains entrenched • 25%
IDF successfully clears hospital • 25%
Operation results in stalemate • 25%
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Continued conflict • 25%
Significant infrastructure rebuilding • 25%
Withdrawal of Israeli forces • 25%
Increased Israeli security presence • 25%
Dismantling of terror cell • 25%
Continued operations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Operation ends without resolution • 25%
Partial disarmament • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant disarmament • 25%
Complete disarmament of Hezbollah • 25%
Less than 20 total casualties • 25%
51-100 total casualties • 25%
20-50 total casualties • 25%
More than 100 total casualties • 25%