Market
Outcome of IDF operations in Gaza by April 30, 2025?
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Israeli Defense Forces•IDF•Gaza Strip•Ilay Gavriel Atedgi•Kiryat Motzkin•Netanel Pessach•Elazar•Hillel Diener•Talmon•Beit Hanoun•Hamas•Israeli
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government and credible news reports
Story
Three Israeli Soldiers Cpt. Ilay Gavriel Atedgi, Staff Sgt. Netanel Pessach, and Sgt. Hillel Diener Killed in Gaza IED Explosion
Dec 23, 2024, 06:30 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reported the deaths of three soldiers during combat operations in the northern Gaza Strip on December 23, 2024. The soldiers were identified as Captain Ilay Gavriel Atedgi, 22, from Kiryat Motzkin; Staff Sergeant Netanel Pessach, 21, from Elazar; and Sergeant First Class (res.) Hillel Diener, 21, from Talmon. They were killed in an explosion caused by an improvised explosive device (IED) in Beit Hanoun. The incident occurred during ongoing military operations against Hamas militants, which have seen a total of 38 Israeli soldiers killed since the operation began on October 5, 2024. The IDF stated that the evacuation of the deceased soldiers was complicated by a secondary explosion that targeted rescue forces arriving at the scene. The military continues to engage in a sweeping offensive in the region.
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Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased international diplomatic tensions • 25%
Significant reduction in tunnel activities • 25%
Major humanitarian impact • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Renewed ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
450 to 500 • 25%
501 to 550 • 25%
Less than 450 • 25%
More than 550 • 25%
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas retains significant control • 25%
Partial defeat with cease-fire • 25%
Other • 25%
Khan Younis • 25%
Beit Hanoun • 25%
Rafah • 25%