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Outcome of Iran-Israel military escalations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant escalation • 25%
International news agencies and official statements from involved governments
Story
IRGC Commander Hossein Salami Asserts No Foreign Power Can Defeat IRGC Amid Regional Tensions with Israel
Dec 23, 2024, 07:27 AM
Major General Hossein Salami, the Commander of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC), has reiterated the military strength and readiness of Iran's armed forces to defend the nation against any threats. He emphasized that no foreign power can defeat the IRGC in land, sea, or air operations. Salami stated that Iran's allied groups are capable of producing their own weapons and operate independently, while Tehran supports them to the maximum extent. He highlighted that the IRGC's power is rooted in its connection to divine strength and wisdom, asserting that the organization remains formidable due to its ideological beliefs. Salami's remarks come amid rising tensions in the region, particularly concerning potential military actions by Israel in response to Houthi missile launches from Yemen.
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Carried out as planned • 25%
Delayed further • 25%
Modified • 25%
Cancelled • 25%
No military action occurs • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
Israel conducts airstrikes on Iran • 25%
Both countries engage in conflict • 25%
De-escalation without resolution • 25%
Resolution through diplomacy • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Strike occurs but is unsuccessful • 25%
Strike is postponed indefinitely • 25%
Strike is canceled • 25%
Strike occurs and is successful • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Strike executed successfully • 25%
Strike called off • 25%
Strike delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
New diplomatic agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions without conflict • 25%
Successful strikes with no retaliation • 25%
Successful strikes with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful strikes • 25%
No strikes conducted • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Increase in nuclear development • 25%
No significant response • 25%
New sanctions imposed on Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military intervention occurs • 25%
Iran complies with nuclear deal terms • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%