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Outcome of Gaza ceasefire by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire breaks, minor clashes • 25%
Ceasefire breaks, major conflict resumes • 25%
Ceasefire evolves into peace talks • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from parties involved
Story
Yemen's Houthis Release 25-Member Crew of Galaxy Leader to Oman, Coordinated with Hamas for Gaza Ceasefire
Jan 22, 2025, 01:02 PM
The Iran-aligned Houthi rebels in Yemen have announced the release of the 25-member multinational crew of the Galaxy Leader, a vehicle carrier they seized in the Red Sea on November 19, 2023, after holding them for more than a year. The release was coordinated with Hamas and facilitated by Oman, as part of a ceasefire agreement in Gaza. The crew was handed over to Oman, with this action described as supporting the ceasefire and part of the broader effort to support Gaza.
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Partial compliance • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
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Ceasefire collapses • 25%
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Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
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Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
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Ceasefire is extended • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
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