Market
New Israel-Hamas Conflict by June 30, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major international news agencies such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters
Story
IRGC Calls Gaza Ceasefire a 'Great Victory' for Palestinian Resistance, 'Bigger Defeat' for Israel
Jan 16, 2025, 06:43 AM
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has described the ceasefire in Gaza as a 'great victory' for the Palestinian resistance and a 'bigger defeat' for Israel. The IRGC's statement, shared by the semi-official Tasnim news agency, praised Hamas for emerging victorious from the negotiations, attributing this success to their faith, the resilience of Gaza, and global support. The statement also warned of potential betrayal by Israel and celebrated the Palestinian resistance as a symbol of the triumph of justice over oppression.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mediation talks ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Hostage Release Achieved • 25%
Both Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement Reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%