Market
Dominant Political Faction in Gaza by June 30, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas • 25%
Fatah • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from major international news agencies and official political announcements
Story
IRGC Calls Gaza Ceasefire a 'Great Victory' for Palestinian Resistance, 'Bigger Defeat' for Israel
Jan 16, 2025, 06:43 AM
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has described the ceasefire in Gaza as a 'great victory' for the Palestinian resistance and a 'bigger defeat' for Israel. The IRGC's statement, shared by the semi-official Tasnim news agency, praised Hamas for emerging victorious from the negotiations, attributing this success to their faith, the resilience of Gaza, and global support. The statement also warned of potential betrayal by Israel and celebrated the Palestinian resistance as a symbol of the triumph of justice over oppression.
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Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
International coalition • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Other • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
International Administration • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli-appointed administration • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
Complete end • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
