Market
Diplomatic Outcomes in Israel-Hamas Conflict by September 30, 2025
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United Nations General Assembly•Israel•Hamas•Gaza Strip•UNRWA•General Assembly•Australia•India•Russia•United Arab Emirates
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire Agreement Reached • 25%
Hostage Release Achieved • 25%
Both Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Official statements from the United Nations or involved governments
Story
UN General Assembly Demands Immediate, Unconditional Ceasefire in Gaza and Release of All Hostages
Dec 12, 2024, 02:37 AM
The United Nations General Assembly has overwhelmingly voted to demand an immediate, unconditional, and permanent ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip. The non-binding resolution also calls for the immediate release of all hostages and supports the work of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA). Additionally, the General Assembly adopted a second resolution reaffirming support for UNRWA amid challenges to its operations. The resolutions were adopted with 158 votes in favor, demonstrating significant international support for an end to the conflict. Australia, India, and Russia were among the nations backing the resolutions, and the United Arab Emirates welcomed their adoption.
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Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Talks Suspended • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Resumption of hostilities • 25%
Partial agreement with limited hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire ends with no agreement • 25%
Successful extension of ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Only Hostage Release • 25%
Only Ceasefire • 25%
Extended ceasefire • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Mediation talks ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%