Market
International mediation in Turkey-Syria relations by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN-led mediation • 25%
Russia-led mediation • 25%
US-led mediation • 25%
No significant international mediation • 25%
Official announcements from international organizations or major international news outlets
Story
Erdogan Declares New Political Reality in Syria, Amidst Assad's Rejection
Dec 7, 2024, 03:00 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has declared a new political and diplomatic reality in Syria, emphasizing that the country belongs to its diverse population and that the Syrian people will determine their own future. He stated that Turkey has no territorial ambitions in Syria and will not allow any actions that could jeopardize its national security or interests. Erdogan's comments come amidst ongoing tensions and diplomatic efforts concerning the Syrian conflict, with recent reports suggesting that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has rejected Erdogan's requests for a bilateral meeting.
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Similar markets
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN mediation • 25%
Other international action • 25%
No international involvement • 25%
NATO intervention • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continued informal talks • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%