Market
How will Lithuania's diplomatic stance towards China change by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthen Ties • 25%
Maintain Current Stance • 25%
Further Deterioration • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Official statements from the Lithuanian government or major international news outlets
Story
Lithuania Expels Three Chinese Diplomats as 'Persona Non Grata' on November 29
Dec 2, 2024, 07:57 AM
Lithuania expelled three Chinese diplomatic staff members on November 29, citing violations of international and Lithuanian laws. The Lithuanian Foreign Ministry declared the individuals 'persona non grata' and demanded their departure. The decision comes amid strained relations between the two nations, exacerbated by Lithuania's support for Taiwan and alleged breaches of the one-China principle. China strongly condemned the move, labeling it as provocative and unjustified, and warned of potential countermeasures. Beijing has called on Lithuania to stop actions undermining China's sovereignty and expressed hope that Lithuania's incoming government will work towards improving bilateral ties.
View original story
Similar markets
Strengthening ties • 25%
Unclear policy • 25%
Further distancing • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Deteriorated EU-China relations • 25%
Strengthened EU-China relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Military exercises near Lithuania • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic downgrading • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal diplomatic break • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
