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What will be the Lithuanian government's policy towards China by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthening ties • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Further distancing • 25%
Unclear policy • 25%
Official policy statements or credible news reports on Lithuanian government actions
Story
Lithuania Expels Three Chinese Embassy Staff on November 29, Citing Vienna Convention Violations; China Warns of Countermeasures
Dec 2, 2024, 06:56 AM
Lithuania has expelled three staff members from the Chinese mission, declaring them persona non grata due to activities that violate the Vienna Convention and Lithuanian law. The expulsion occurred on November 29, as confirmed by Lithuania's Foreign Ministry. This move could heighten tensions between Lithuania and China, especially as the incoming Lithuanian prime minister has indicated a willingness to restore diplomatic relations with Beijing. In response, China condemned the expulsion and warned of potential countermeasures, urging Lithuania to cease actions that undermine its sovereignty and diplomatic commitments. No comments have been issued from the Chinese mission in Lithuania regarding the situation.
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Strengthen Ties • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Further Deterioration • 25%
Maintain Current Stance • 25%
Resolved Amicably • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Escalated to EU Level • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Posturing • 25%
No Action • 25%
Formal diplomatic break • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
More oppositional • 25%
More conciliatory • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
Maintained current level of support • 25%
Diplomatic shift without military change • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Indifferent • 25%