What will be the outcome of Taiwan's diplomatic efforts by June 30, 2025?
Strengthened alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs or credible news reports on diplomatic relations
US Approves $385 Million Arms Sale as Taiwan's President Visits Pacific Allies, Angering China
Nov 30, 2024, 11:27 PM
Taiwan President Lai Ching-te has embarked on his first overseas trip since taking office, undertaking a week-long Pacific tour to strengthen ties with Taiwan's allies—the Marshall Islands, Tuvalu, and Palau. The trip includes stopovers in Hawaii and the US territory of Guam, during which Lai declared that Taiwan is a 'force for global peace and stability.' China has strongly protested Lai's travel plans, accusing the United States of facilitating 'separatist actions' and has warned of potential 'resolute countermeasures,' including possible military exercises in response. Meanwhile, the US State Department has approved a potential arms sale to Taiwan worth $385 million. The package includes $320 million for spare parts and support for F-16 fighter jets and Active Electronically Scanned Array radars, and $65 million for communications equipment. The Pentagon announced the approval ahead of Lai's trip, and deliveries are expected to begin in 2025. Taiwan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs welcomed the arms sale, reaffirming the US government's commitment to Taiwan's defense in line with the Taiwan Relations Act and the Six Assurances. China has condemned the arms sale and Lai's stopovers in the US, urging the United States to 'exercise extreme caution' and cease all forms of official exchanges and military contacts with Taiwan. Beijing has lodged serious protests and warned of 'resolute countermeasures,' emphasizing that Taiwan is the 'core of the core interests' of China and represents the 'first red line' in China-US relations.
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Neutral stance • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan • 25%
Decreased support for Taiwan • 25%
Maintains current policy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Maintained current level of support • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic shift without military change • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Strengthening ties with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with EU • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthening ties with Japan • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Significant conflict • 25%
Maintains ties with both • 25%
Maintains ties with Taiwan only • 25%
Establishes ties with China only • 25%
Severs ties with both • 25%
Increased military cooperation between Taiwan and allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Escalation into conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resolved Amicably • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
Escalated to EU Level • 25%
Formal reunification • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased diplomatic talks • 25%
Visit a neighboring country • 25%
Engage in talks with U.S. officials • 25%
Address the United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
EU support • 25%
China condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
US support • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%