Market
How will Israeli-Syrian diplomatic relations change by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Official announcements from Israeli or Syrian governments
Story
Netanyahu Warns New Syrian Regime: Allowing Iran or Arms to Hezbollah Will Exact Heavy Price
Dec 10, 2024, 05:18 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel seeks to establish relations with the new regime in Syria but warned that Israel would respond forcefully if the regime allows Iran to re-establish itself in the country or permits the transfer of weapons to Hezbollah. Netanyahu emphasized that while Israel does not intend to interfere in Syria's internal affairs, it is determined to protect its security. He expressed hope that the new regime will act for the Syrian people and return Syria to the embrace of the Arab world. He cautioned that Israel will exact a heavy price if its security is threatened.
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Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Increased tensions or conflict • 25%
Diplomatic relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued non-engagement • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to de-escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Border dispute resolution • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
No official stance taken • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations with Syria • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Improved relations with both • 25%
