Market
How will Gaza's governance change due to Turkey's influence by the end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Turkish•Tayyip Erdoğan•Hakan Fidan•Ankara•Syria•Gaza•ISIS•PKK•Blinken•US•Turkey•Fidan•Hamas
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas agrees to power-sharing • 25%
Hamas retains full control • 25%
Hamas replaced by a new governing body • 25%
No change in governance • 25%
Official announcements from Hamas or international bodies like the United Nations
Story
Blinken Urges Turkey to Help Achieve Gaza Cease-Fire, Discusses Syria's Future with Erdoğan and Fidan
Dec 13, 2024, 08:28 AM
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara to discuss regional issues, including Syria and Gaza. The officials focused on efforts to stabilize Syria and combat terrorism, particularly the threats posed by ISIS and the PKK. Blinken noted that there is broad agreement between the US and Turkey on the desired future for Syria, emphasizing the need for a government that promotes stability, dismantles chemical weapons, and does not threaten its neighbors. Fidan stated that Turkey's priorities are to ensure stability in Syria and prevent terrorist organizations like ISIS and the PKK from gaining a foothold in the region. They discussed the possible roles of Turkey and the US in Syria's future. Blinken urged Turkey to use its influence on Hamas to achieve a cease-fire in Gaza and expressed that there are encouraging signs that a cease-fire is possible. Both sides agreed on the urgency of achieving a cease-fire. Blinken highlighted the importance of continued US-Turkish collaboration to suppress ISIS in Syria.
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Continued conflict • 25%
Hamas leadership change • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
International Administration • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
International coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Infrastructure Development • 25%
Political Support • 25%
Military Assistance • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete end • 25%
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Increased influence • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
International oversight • 25%
Israeli administration • 25%
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Infrastructure rebuilding • 25%
Medical supplies • 25%
Education and community programs • 25%
Food and basic necessities • 25%