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What will be the governance structure in Gaza post-Hamas defeat by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Israeli administration • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
International oversight • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or international bodies
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Israel's Defense Minister Katz: Complete Security Control Over Gaza with Full Freedom of Action After Hamas Defeat
Dec 17, 2024, 06:45 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz announced that Israel will assume security control over Gaza following the defeat of Hamas. He emphasized that the Israeli military will have full operational freedom in the region, similar to the current situation in the West Bank. Katz's statements come in the context of ongoing military operations against Hamas, which began after the group's attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. His remarks have been reiterated across various media outlets, highlighting Israel's intent to establish a security framework in Gaza post-conflict.
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Other • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Joint governance • 25%
Other • 25%
International Administration • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Implementation delayed • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Complete end • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
No change • 25%
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Mixed reactions • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
No significant response • 25%