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How many Palestinians will return to northern Gaza by the end of February?
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Qatar•Foreign Ministry•Hamas•Israeli•Arbel Yehud•Agam Berger•Israel•Gaza•Netzarim Corridor•Palestinians•Yehud•Berger
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 300,000 • 25%
300,001 to 500,000 • 25%
More than 500,000 • 25%
Reports from humanitarian organizations and news agencies
Story
Hamas to Release Arbel Yehud, Agam Berger; Israel to Open Netzarim Corridor Monday Morning
Jan 26, 2025, 09:55 PM
Qatar's Foreign Ministry announced that Hamas will release three Israeli hostages, including civilian Arbel Yehud and soldier Agam Berger, before Friday. Additionally, three more hostages are scheduled to be released on Saturday, in accordance with a ceasefire agreement. In exchange, Israel will allow displaced Palestinians to return to northern Gaza starting Monday morning via the Netzarim Corridor, affecting around 650,000 Palestinians. The Israeli Prime Minister's Office confirmed the release of Yehud, Berger, and another hostage on Thursday, and affirmed that Palestinians can move north on Monday. This agreement follows a period of tension after Israel delayed the return of Palestinians to northern Gaza due to disputes over the release of hostages, amidst a 15-month war that has killed over 47,000 Palestinians and saw Hamas take around 250 captives during their attack on October 7, 2023.
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Similar markets
Less than 300,000 • 25%
300,000 to 350,000 • 25%
350,001 to 400,000 • 25%
More than 400,000 • 25%
February 1-7, 2025 • 25%
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January 26-31, 2025 • 25%
By February 28, 2025 • 25%
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By June 30, 2025 • 25%
By April 30, 2025 • 25%
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51% to 75% • 25%
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1,000-4,999 return • 25%
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