Market
Israel resumes Palestinian return to northern Gaza within two weeks?
3
Israel•Benjamin Netanyahu•Palestinian•Gaza•Arbel Yehud•Hamas•Israeli•Yehud•Palestinian Islamic Jihad•Strip
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, verified news reports
Story
Israel Halts Palestinians' Return Over Hostage Delay; Hamas Says Yehud Alive
Jan 25, 2025, 10:54 AM
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Palestinians will not be allowed to return to northern Gaza until the release of civilian hostage Arbel Yehud, who was supposed to be freed today as per the ceasefire agreement. Earlier, Hamas released four female Israeli soldiers but failed to release Yehud, whom Israel says is a civilian, not a soldier. Hamas informed mediators that Yehud is alive and will be released next Saturday. The Palestinian Islamic Jihad claimed responsibility for holding Yehud, falsely identifying her as a soldier. Israel is requesting proof that Yehud is alive and regards the delay in her release as a breach of the ceasefire agreement, which included the scheduled return of over one million displaced Palestinians to northern Gaza on the seventh day. As a result, Israel is withholding the movement of Palestinians back to the northern part of the Strip.
View original story
Similar markets
After June 30, 2025 • 25%
By April 30, 2025 • 25%
By February 28, 2025 • 25%
By June 30, 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
January 26-31, 2025 • 25%
After February 15, 2025 • 25%
February 1-7, 2025 • 25%
February 8-15, 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
More than 500,000 • 25%
300,001 to 500,000 • 25%
100,000 to 300,000 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
300,000 to 350,000 • 25%
More than 400,000 • 25%
350,001 to 400,000 • 25%
Less than 300,000 • 25%