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Main cause of Hamas-Israel ceasefire breakdown by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas actions • 25%
Israeli actions • 25%
External influences • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Analysis from geopolitical experts and reports from major news outlets like The New York Times or The Washington Post
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Hamas, Led by Abu Ubaida, Affirms Ceasefire Commitment Contingent on Israel's Compliance
Jan 19, 2025, 04:17 PM
Hamas has affirmed its commitment to implementing the terms of a ceasefire agreement with Israel, which came into effect recently. The group's military wing, through spokesperson Abu Ubaida, stated that their adherence to the agreement is contingent upon Israel's compliance. Hamas emphasized that the success of the ceasefire depends on Israel's commitment and warned that any violations by Israel could jeopardize the process. The agreement is described as a result of the Palestinian people's steadfastness and resistance against what Hamas refers to as 'Zionist terror'. Abu Ubaida, on behalf of Hamas and other resistance factions, declared their full commitment to the ceasefire agreement.
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Technical issues • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Violation by Hamas • 25%
Violation by Israel • 25%
External interference • 25%
Internal political pressure • 25%
External interference • 25%
Breach of terms by Israel • 25%
Breach of terms by Hamas • 25%
Israeli Actions • 25%
Hamas Actions • 25%
Other • 25%
External Influence • 25%
Negotiations break down completely • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations continue without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Other • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas violations • 25%
Israeli military actions • 25%
Internal Israeli Opposition • 25%
External Political Pressure • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Hamas Demands • 25%