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Primary Reason for Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Breakdown by March 1, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical issues • 25%
Military actions • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Verified news reports, official statements from Israeli government or Hamas
Story
Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Begins After Three-Hour Delay; Three Israeli Women Hostages to Be Released
Jan 19, 2025, 08:07 AM
The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza took effect at 11:15 a.m. local time on Sunday after a nearly three-hour delay caused by Hamas's failure to provide a list of hostages scheduled for release. The truce was originally set to begin at 8:30 a.m., but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that it would not proceed until Hamas provided the names. Hamas cited technical reasons for the delay but eventually delivered the list, naming three Israeli women to be released: Romi Gonen, 24, Emily Damari, 28, and Doron Steinbrecher, 31. During the delay, Israel continued strikes on Gaza. With the names received, the ceasefire commenced, and the hostages are expected to be released later in the day.
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Hamas actions • 25%
Israeli actions • 25%
External influences • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Internal political pressure • 25%
Breach of terms by Israel • 25%
Breach of terms by Hamas • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Violation by Hamas • 25%
Violation by Israel • 25%
External interference • 25%
Israeli Actions • 25%
External Influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas Actions • 25%
Hamas Demands • 25%
Internal Israeli Opposition • 25%
External Political Pressure • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli military actions • 25%
Hamas violations • 25%
Other • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Ceasefire holds with full peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire extended with negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with renewed conflict • 25%
Ceasefire holds without full agreement • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Other • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%