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What will be the primary reason for delays in Israel-Hamas agreement by June 30, 2025?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Doha•Qatar•Gaza•Mossad•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israel Security Agency•ISA•Hamas•Cairo•Egypt•United States•Netanyahu•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from international news agencies and statements from involved parties
Story
Netanyahu Authorizes Delegation to Resume Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Release Talks in Qatar Amid Mediation Efforts
Jan 3, 2025, 07:00 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has authorized a delegation to travel to Doha, Qatar, to resume negotiations aimed at securing a ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages held there. The delegation, comprising representatives from the Mossad, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), and the Israel Security Agency (ISA), left for Qatar on Friday. This move comes after a Hamas delegation visited Cairo to discuss the ceasefire agreement, indicating ongoing efforts to resolve the conflict. The negotiations are being facilitated by mediators from Qatar, Egypt, and the United States. Netanyahu's decision follows mutual accusations between Israel and Hamas of delaying a deal, with both sides expressing cautious optimism about the possibility of closing gaps and reaching an agreement in the coming weeks.
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Other • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Hostages released and rocket attacks ceased • 25%
Only rocket attacks ceased • 25%
Neither demands met • 25%
Only hostages released • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli-imposed restrictions • 25%
Funding issues • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage exchange deal finalized • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%