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Market
Impact of Trump's felony convictions on 2024 polling numbers
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Remain within 5% of current levels • 34%
Polling data from reputable sources such as Gallup, FiveThirtyEight, or RealClearPolitics
Story
Trump's 34 Felony Convictions Create Political Turmoil Ahead of Election
May 31, 2024, 05:55 PM
Former President Donald Trump has been found guilty on 34 felony charges, creating significant political ramifications ahead of the November 5th election. Trump, who is the Republican candidate, aims to reclaim the White House from Democratic President Joe Biden. The guilty verdict has thrust the United States into uncharted territory as Trump continues to campaign despite his legal troubles. Trump addressed voters on Friday morning, following the announcement of his conviction.
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Similar markets
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Remain within 5% of current numbers • 33%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
No significant change (within 5%) • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Trump wins Republican nomination • 25%
Trump runs as independent • 25%
Trump does not run • 25%
Trump loses nomination but supports another candidate • 25%
Majority support conviction • 33%
Majority oppose conviction • 33%
Majority unsure/neutral • 33%
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Guilty verdict support increases • 33%
Guilty verdict support decreases • 33%
Guilty verdict support remains unchanged • 33%
Increase • 50%
Decrease • 50%