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Market
What will be the public opinion on Trump's conviction by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support conviction • 33%
Majority oppose conviction • 33%
Majority unsure/neutral • 33%
Major public opinion polls
Story
Jury Convicts Trump of 34 Felonies, Raising Due Process Concerns
Jun 7, 2024, 07:39 PM
Former President Donald Trump has been convicted of 34 felonies, including falsifying business records and interfering in an election. The lack of a clear rationale for these charges raises due process issues that are likely to be significant in his appeals. Legal scholars and journalists have noted the complexity of the case, which involves various combinations of interacting statutes, making it difficult to follow. This high-profile conviction has sparked discussions about the weaponization of the legal system and the potential for ordinary citizens to unwittingly commit multiple felonies. The jury's decision has led to Trump being labeled a convicted felon.
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Similar markets
Guilty verdict support increases • 33%
Guilty verdict support decreases • 33%
Guilty verdict support remains unchanged • 33%
Majority believe it was politically motivated • 33%
Majority believe it was justified • 33%
Public opinion evenly split • 34%
Support Trump • 25%
Condemn Trump • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No Comment • 25%
Significantly more favorable • 25%
Somewhat more favorable • 25%
Somewhat less favorable • 25%
Significantly less favorable • 25%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
Mostly favorable • 25%
Mostly unfavorable • 25%
Divided opinions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Increase in support for defendants • 25%
Decrease in support for defendants • 25%
No significant change in public opinion • 25%
Increase in calls for harsher penalties • 25%
Public backlash • 33%
Political support for Trump increases • 33%
Neutral impact • 34%
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
No significant change (within 5%) • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
