Loading...
Market
Impact of Trump's verdict on his 2024 campaign by end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Significant positive impact • 33%
Major national polls (e.g., ABC News/Ipsos, CBS News, Reuters/Ipsos)
Story
Plurality of Americans Support Trump's Guilty Verdict on 34 Counts, Polls Show
Jun 2, 2024, 02:00 PM
A plurality of Americans believe that former President Donald Trump's guilty verdict on all 34 counts in his hush money trial was correct, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. The poll found that 50% of Americans think the verdict was correct, while 49% believe Trump should end his 2024 presidential campaign as a result. Additionally, 47% of respondents think the charges against Trump were politically motivated, while 38% disagree. A CBS News poll also indicates that views on Trump's guilt or innocence remain unchanged following the verdict, with 57% of Americans now believing the jury reached the right verdict. A Reuters/Ipsos survey of registered voters also reflects similar sentiments.
View original story
Similar markets
Significant negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Significantly Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Neutral Impact • 25%
Drop out of race • 25%
Continue campaign with reduced support • 25%
Continue campaign with same support • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Net Positive Effect • 33%
Net Negative Effect • 33%
No Significant Change • 33%
No impact • 33%
Minor impact • 33%
Major impact • 34%
Positive Impact • 33%
No Impact • 33%
Negative Impact • 34%
Significant drop in poll numbers • 25%
No significant change in poll numbers • 25%
Increase in campaign donations • 25%
Decrease in campaign donations • 25%
Significantly Negative Impact • 25%
Some Negative Impact • 25%
No Impact • 25%
Positive Impact • 25%
Trump wins Republican nomination • 25%
Trump runs as independent • 25%
Trump does not run • 25%
Trump loses nomination but supports another candidate • 25%
Significantly harms • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosts his campaign • 34%
Significantly harmed • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Boosted his public support • 33%
Significantly damaged • 25%
Moderately affected • 25%
Minor or no impact • 25%
Enhanced • 25%