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Market
Will Trump's poll numbers increase or decrease post-conviction?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase • 50%
Decrease • 50%
Aggregated polling data (e.g., from RealClearPolitics or FiveThirtyEight)
Story
Biden Calls Trump 'Convicted Felon' for First Time Amid Historic 2024 Election
Jun 4, 2024, 12:49 AM
President Joe Biden has publicly referred to Donald Trump as a 'convicted felon' for the first time, marking a significant moment in the 2024 presidential election. This comes after Trump became the first former U.S. president and major-party presumptive nominee to be found guilty of a felony. Biden's remarks were made during a fundraiser in Greenwich, Connecticut, where he emphasized the unprecedented nature of Trump's criminal conviction and its implications for his presidential candidacy. The conviction has sparked a range of reactions, with some viewing it as an overreach while others see it as a standard legal outcome. Trump's strategy of denying all charges could potentially harm him during sentencing. The Palm Beach Post has reported a variety of views from its readers on the conviction, and LisaDNews has also covered the story.
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Similar markets
Increase by more than 5% • 33%
Decrease by more than 5% • 33%
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Majority support conviction • 33%
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