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Market
How will U.S. foreign policy towards Syria change by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
More supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
Less supportive of Türkiye's position • 25%
No change • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Official U.S. State Department announcements or major news outlets
Story
Biden Removes Türkiye from 2019 Sanctions List Over Operation Peace Spring, Acknowledging NATO Ally
Jan 17, 2025, 07:16 AM
Outgoing U.S. President Joe Biden has revised a 2019 executive order, removing all references to Türkiye that were related to sanctions imposed due to Türkiye's Operation Peace Spring in Syria. The original executive order, Executive Order 13894, signed by then-President Donald Trump on October 14, 2019, had targeted Türkiye's actions in northeast Syria. Biden's amendments, outlined in Executive Order 14142, reflect changes in the situation on the ground in Syria since the operation concluded over five years ago. The revised order retains the U.S. authority to impose sanctions on individuals who threaten Syria's peace, security, stability, or territorial integrity, or who are involved in serious human rights abuses. This move is seen as an important legal gain for Türkiye, a NATO ally, which had long demanded its complete removal from the 2019 executive order.
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Continued non-involvement • 25%
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
Military support to rebels • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
Stronger diplomatic ties • 25%
Increased economic investment • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Maintained current strategy • 25%
Reduced engagement • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Successful transition • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Russia reduces involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia increases involvement • 25%