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Outcome of U.S. diplomatic efforts in Syria by end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Iraq•Syria•Blinken•Iraqi•Baghdad•Assad Syria•Middle East•Islamic State•Bahrain•Arab League
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Official U.S. State Department releases or credible international news reports
Story
Blinken Makes Unannounced Visit to Iraq to Coordinate Post-Assad Syria Strategy
Dec 13, 2024, 01:55 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken made an unannounced visit to Iraq on Friday to discuss the future of Syria following the ouster of President Bashar al-Assad. Blinken met with Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani in Baghdad to coordinate a regional approach to stabilize post-Assad Syria, emphasizing the need for Iraq to enhance its sovereignty and stability. This visit is part of Blinken's 12th trip to the Middle East since the Israel-Hamas war began, focusing on preventing further regional turmoil and ensuring a peaceful political transition in Syria. The U.S. aims to support an inclusive transition in Syria that does not allow the Islamic State group to regain influence or territory, and Blinken underscored the U.S. commitment to the U.S.-Iraq strategic partnership. Discussions also touched on regional security, with Bahrain expressing willingness to support Syria in international organizations like the Arab League.
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Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful peace talks • 25%
Increased military intervention • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Maintained current strategy • 25%
Reduced engagement • 25%
Complete disengagement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Significant reduction in ISIS activity • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
U.S. withdrawal from Syria • 25%
Increased U.S. military involvement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Increased military intervention • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Significant gains by opposition • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Opposition victory • 25%
Government retains power • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New government established • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete Rebel Victory • 25%
Partial Rebel Control • 25%
Government Regains Control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Regime Change • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%