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What changes will occur in U.S. Syria policy by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Official U.S. foreign policy announcements or credible international news reports
Story
Turkey's FM Fidan Discusses Syria with Blinken, Accuses U.S. of Backing Terrorists
Dec 1, 2024, 12:03 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan announced that Turkey is not involved in the ongoing clashes in Aleppo, Syria, but is taking precautionary measures to prevent any actions that could lead to increased instability or trigger a new wave of migration. Fidan stated that "the lifeline of terrorist groups in the region lies in the hands of the United States. Without U.S. support, they cannot survive." He emphasized that Ankara will not allow terrorist threats targeting its security or Syrian civilians. In a phone call with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Fidan reiterated Turkey's opposition to developments that could escalate tensions in the region and underscored Turkey's support for efforts to reduce tensions in Syria.
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Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Military support to rebels • 25%
Continued non-involvement • 25%
Sanctions on Syria • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia increases involvement • 25%
Russia reduces involvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Increased engagement • 25%
Maintained current stance • 25%
Reduced engagement • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Remain the same • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%
Bashar Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad replaced by opposition leader • 25%
Assad replaced by another regime member • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Successful transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%