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Market
What will be the public reaction to the TikTok ban or divestiture by January 19, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Public opinion polls and major news outlets
Story
DOJ Accuses TikTok of Sharing Sensitive User Data with China, U.S. Ban Looms by January 19
Jul 27, 2024, 05:15 PM
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) has accused TikTok of collecting and sharing sensitive user data with its China-based parent company, ByteDance. According to court filings, TikTok gathered information on American users' views on divisive topics such as gun control, abortion, and religion. The DOJ argues that this data collection poses a national security threat and has requested that the court reject TikTok's challenge to a law mandating the sale or ban of the app. The law, signed by President Joe Biden in April, requires ByteDance to divest TikTok's U.S. assets by January 19. TikTok has denied the allegations, asserting that the ban would violate the First Amendment rights of its 170 million American users. The DOJ maintains that the collection and potential manipulation of user data by a foreign power is not protected under the First Amendment.
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Widespread opposition • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Opinion is evenly split • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Majority support the ban • 25%
Majority oppose the ban • 25%
Opinion remains divided • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal reaction • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban temporarily suspended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Mandate extended • 25%
Mandate modified • 25%
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
TikTok continues operations as usual • 25%
TikTok faces operational restrictions • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok ceases operations in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%