Loading...
Market
Will TikTok's Supreme Court appeal succeed by January 19, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. Supreme Court decision announcements
Story
TikTok Appeals to Supreme Court to Block U.S. Ban by Jan. 19, Amid Trump's Support
Dec 17, 2024, 05:47 PM
TikTok has filed an emergency application with the U.S. Supreme Court to block a federal law that mandates the app's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest its holdings by January 19, 2025, or face a ban in the U.S. The company argues that the law violates the First Amendment and would affect its 170 million American users. Amidst this legal battle, President-elect Donald Trump met with TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew at Mar-a-Lago, signaling a potential openness to stopping the ban. Trump has expressed a 'warm spot' for TikTok, citing its role in his recent election success among young voters. The law, passed by Congress in April, stems from concerns over national security risks posed by TikTok's data collection and potential content manipulation by the Chinese government. A federal appeals court upheld the law earlier this month, rejecting TikTok's First Amendment claims.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban upheld • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
TikTok loses appeal • 33%
Case deferred • 34%
TikTok wins appeal • 33%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
