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Outcome of Panama's response to US canal threats by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Official statements from the Panamanian government or international diplomatic channels
Story
Panama's President José Raúl Mulino Asserts Sovereignty Over Every Square Meter of Canal After Trump's Threats
Dec 22, 2024, 08:32 PM
Panama's President, José Raúl Mulino, has firmly asserted the country's sovereignty over the Panama Canal in response to threats from U.S. President Donald Trump. Mulino stated that 'every square meter of the canal and its surrounding area belongs to Panama,' emphasizing that the canal is an 'inalienable part of the nation.' This statement comes after Trump criticized the canal's tolls and threatened to reclaim it if tariff reductions were not made. Mulino's remarks underline Panama's position regarding its control over the canal, which has been managed by the country since the implementation of the Torrijos-Carter Treaties. The president's response has been characterized as a clear rejection of Trump's claims, reinforcing Panama's constitutional guarantees of sovereignty over the canal.
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Strengthen ties with U.S. • 25%
Strengthen ties with China • 25%
Maintain neutrality • 25%
Seek other international partnerships • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Negotiate with US • 25%
Ignore threat • 25%
Increase security • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Support for U.S. demands • 25%
Opposition to U.S. demands • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Panama reduces tolls • 25%
US demands canal return • 25%
Increased US military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Condemnation of U.S. • 25%
Support for U.S. • 25%
Call for negotiations • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Fees reduced • 25%
Fees remain unchanged • 25%
Fees increased • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%