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Will unrest in Mozambique related to the disputed election results end by February 29, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from international news agencies and local government announcements
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Over 1,500 Prisoners Escape in Mozambique, Causing 33 Deaths and 15 Injuries; 150 Recaptured
Dec 25, 2024, 08:46 PM
More than 1,534 prisoners escaped from a high-security prison in Maputo, Mozambique, amid ongoing protests over disputed election results. The escape occurred on Christmas Day, following the third day of unrest triggered by the confirmation of the ruling Frelimo party's victory in the recent elections. The prison break resulted in at least 33 deaths and 15 injuries during clashes with prison staff. National police chief Bernardino Rafael reported that 150 of the escapees have been recaptured, including 29 terrorists. The unrest in Mozambique has led to a total of at least 150 deaths since the announcement of the election results, with reports of violence and vandalism across the country.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New elections held • 25%
Frelimo retains power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Frelimo confirmed as winner • 25%
Opposition declared winner • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Official condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Mediation initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Government Concessions • 25%
Opposition Gains Power • 25%
Continued Unrest • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Major Action • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other response • 25%
Stable with minor unrest • 25%
Escalating into crisis • 25%
Stable with resolution of disputes • 25%
Unstable with significant protests • 25%