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Will Ukraine's NATO membership be officially postponed by the end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official NATO announcements or major news outlets reporting on Ukraine's NATO membership status
Story
Russia Rejects Trump's Proposals to Delay Ukraine's NATO Membership and Deploy Peacekeepers
Dec 30, 2024, 10:26 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has expressed dissatisfaction with proposals reportedly discussed by President-elect Donald Trump and his team to end the war in Ukraine. These proposals include postponing Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and deploying European and British peacekeeping forces in Ukraine. Lavrov stated that Moscow is not satisfied with these suggestions, which were attributed to representatives of Trump's team. The comments come as speculation about potential future peace negotiations continues, following nearly three years of conflict that has resulted in hundreds of thousands of casualties.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%
Other status • 25%
No progress • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
No change • 25%
Membership granted • 25%