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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's NATO membership negotiations by the end of 2025?
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Russia•Donald Trump•Ukraine•NATO•European•British•Russian•Sergey Lavrov•Moscow•Vladimir Putin•Lavrov•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Membership granted by 2025 • 25%
Membership delayed beyond 2025 • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Membership denied • 25%
Official announcements from NATO or Ukrainian government
Story
Russia Rejects Trump's Proposal to Delay Ukraine's NATO Membership for 20 Years and Deploy European and British Peacekeepers
Dec 29, 2024, 03:33 PM
Russia has firmly rejected a proposal from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to delay Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and to deploy European and British peacekeepers in the country. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that Moscow finds the proposal unacceptable, reiterating a stance previously expressed by President Vladimir Putin. Lavrov emphasized that any discussions regarding Ukraine's NATO accession must be unbreakable and that Russia remains open to negotiations, but only under conditions that meet its demands. The rejection of Trump's proposal reflects ongoing tensions surrounding NATO's expansion and Russia's strategic interests in the region.
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Full NATO membership granted • 25%
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Ukraine continues NATO ambitions • 25%