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Will Ukraine's NATO membership be officially delayed beyond 2044 by the end of 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from NATO or the Ukrainian government
Story
Russia Rejects Trump’s Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal, Dismisses 20-Year NATO Membership Delay and Peacekeepers
Dec 29, 2024, 12:14 PM
Russia has firmly rejected former President Donald Trump's calls for a ceasefire in Ukraine, labeling the proposal as 'a path to nowhere.' This dismissal was reiterated by Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who also expressed dissatisfaction with Trump's suggestion to postpone Ukraine's NATO membership for 20 years and to introduce European and British peacekeepers in the region. Lavrov emphasized that Russia will not accept these terms, reaffirming the country's longstanding position against Ukraine's NATO accession, regardless of the timeframe. The rejection of Trump's proposals indicates ongoing tensions in the region and highlights the complexities surrounding potential negotiations.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Candidate Status • 25%
Pending • 25%
Security guarantees without NATO membership • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Full NATO membership granted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Membership invitation extended • 25%
Full Member • 25%
Membership delayed • 25%
Membership rejected • 25%
Membership negotiations started • 25%
Membership granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Invitation granted • 25%
Decision postponed • 25%
Invitation denied • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other status • 25%
Official candidate status • 25%
Full NATO member • 25%